Pre-tourney Rankings
Austin Peay
Ohio Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#212
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#228
Pace74.0#40
Improvement-0.2#178

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#187
Improvement+0.8#126

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#235
Improvement-0.9#208
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 54   @ Middle Tennessee L 71-80 10%     0 - 1 +2.6 +0.1 +3.1
  Nov 15, 2011 34   @ California L 55-72 7%     0 - 2 -2.9 -12.7 +10.2
  Nov 19, 2011 87   @ Oral Roberts L 59-71 14%     0 - 3 -2.9 -10.2 +6.8
  Nov 21, 2011 126   @ Bowling Green L 72-82 20%     0 - 4 -3.8 -1.3 -1.8
  Nov 22, 2011 167   George Washington L 52-54 40%     0 - 5 -2.1 -16.0 +13.7
  Nov 23, 2011 119   Detroit Mercy L 93-94 OT 28%     0 - 6 +2.4 +5.4 -2.9
  Nov 26, 2011 54   Middle Tennessee L 70-90 24%     0 - 7 -15.2 -5.8 -7.6
  Nov 28, 2011 216   @ Lipscomb L 59-67 38%     0 - 8 -7.6 -21.0 +14.5
  Dec 03, 2011 10   @ Memphis L 60-91 4%     0 - 9 -12.5 -10.1 +0.5
  Dec 05, 2011 193   Arkansas St. W 86-82 OT 59%     1 - 9 -1.1 +2.4 -3.8
  Dec 10, 2011 51   @ Tennessee W 74-70 10%     2 - 9 +15.7 +12.5 +3.4
  Dec 21, 2011 24   Belmont L 67-77 15%     2 - 10 -1.4 -8.4 +7.4
  Dec 29, 2011 262   @ Eastern Kentucky L 65-67 50%     2 - 11 0 - 1 -4.6 -9.5 +4.9
  Dec 31, 2011 203   @ Morehead St. L 64-68 35%     2 - 12 0 - 2 -2.6 -2.6 -0.3
  Jan 07, 2012 42   Murray St. L 75-87 21%     2 - 13 0 - 3 -6.1 +2.9 -8.5
  Jan 12, 2012 262   Eastern Kentucky W 80-65 74%     3 - 13 1 - 3 +5.6 +6.9 -0.1
  Jan 14, 2012 211   Jacksonville St. W 60-57 62%     4 - 13 2 - 3 -2.9 -2.3 +0.0
  Jan 16, 2012 165   Tennessee St. W 69-63 53%     5 - 13 3 - 3 +2.7 -7.1 +9.5
  Jan 19, 2012 307   @ SIU Edwardsville W 80-67 65%     6 - 13 4 - 3 +6.5 +2.0 +4.2
  Jan 21, 2012 299   @ Eastern Illinois W 76-64 61%     7 - 13 5 - 3 +6.6 -0.2 +6.9
  Jan 26, 2012 230   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 60-65 41%     7 - 14 5 - 4 -5.3 -16.8 +11.6
  Jan 28, 2012 334   Tennessee Martin W 92-73 91%     8 - 14 6 - 4 +1.1 +5.5 -5.1
  Jan 30, 2012 165   @ Tennessee St. L 57-77 28%     8 - 15 6 - 5 -16.5 -10.3 -7.2
  Feb 02, 2012 180   Tennessee Tech L 88-94 56%     8 - 16 6 - 6 -10.2 -2.6 -6.6
  Feb 06, 2012 24   @ Belmont L 55-94 6%     8 - 17 -23.6 -16.1 -6.1
  Feb 11, 2012 42   @ Murray St. L 63-82 8%     8 - 18 6 - 7 -6.3 +0.8 -8.3
  Feb 15, 2012 203   Morehead St. L 48-52 61%     8 - 19 6 - 8 -9.4 -14.0 +3.5
  Feb 18, 2012 169   Youngstown St. W 71-68 54%     9 - 19 -0.6 -2.3 +1.9
  Feb 23, 2012 334   @ Tennessee Martin W 85-67 79%     10 - 19 7 - 8 +6.9 +7.6 -0.2
  Feb 25, 2012 230   Southeast Missouri St. W 68-59 67%     11 - 19 8 - 8 +1.9 -4.3 +7.1
  Feb 29, 2012 211   Jacksonville St. L 70-75 49%     11 - 20 -7.5 +2.4 -10.2
Projected Record 11.0 - 20.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%